Forschungsprojekte

How to Make Good Forecasts

Forschungsleitung

 

Forschungsteam

 

Projektbeschreibung

Everyday miriads of forecasts are made, from predictions about the weather, the economy, politics, product sales, sport outcomes to questions about what movie, food or music will please us or another person in the near or more remote future. We study how good forecasts can be made by relying on the collective ignorance and wisdom of people, as well as how to improve forecasts of individuals.

< back to List